Alpha v1.00 Released!

Hi all – Welcome to my new site!

** I’m planning on releasing a new version, with better views (no console window) and working on 32-bit Windows – current ETA is July 23-26. **

** Many reports of download issues – to be fixed for next version **

I am developing an Elo-based model for forecasting professional Dota 2 matches. This model is able to account for roster changes and standins as I have built the rating system onto the players, instead of the teams.

I have just released the alpha version below. Please take a look at the Model Overview if you are not already familiar with this model from my posts on reddit.

Model Overview and Q&A

You can download the alpha version of the model here (note – Chrome may flag as unsafe – looking into it):

Dota 2 Elo-Based Model [Alpha] (0 downloads)

** KNOWN ISSUE – Current version only working on 64-bit – to be fixed for next version.

After the model has loaded today’s matches, you can just hit <Enter> to get a list of commands. Most common commands would be: upcoming, bets <id#>loadhistoryteamsplayers

Some examples of using the model can be found on our page of Model Commands.

Please let me know if you have any questions or problems with the installation or using the model.

Here is the model download link once more:

Dota 2 Elo-Based Model [Alpha] (0 downloads)



12 thoughts on “Alpha v1.00 Released!”

    1. I’m pulling all games from GosuGamers right now – so likely they have not captured these tournaments for some reason. I may need to add a secondary data source to capture these tourneys.

      You can create a matchup that the model has not loaded using the ‘create’ command – to at least get a forecast for these matches.

    1. Hi – sorry to hear that, this is first report of this issue.

      So far no other problems downloading, try again later and let me know if you are still having the problem.

      1. I’ve tried downloading a few times and the issue still persists. The download always fails at 40-50%, maybe the download server timeout on me?

        1. Really not sure on this one, sorry – will let you know if I figure it out. Maybe try again when I release the newer version with graphics (couple days)

          1. I’ll wait for those then, thanks by the way and I hoped for a mirrored links on the next update if you don’t mind.

  1. Wats the exact size of the model zip file? as i have downloaded till 132 mb and it ended and didnt completed…and shows the zip file as corrupted

  2. And know again after 83mb download it finished successfully and no corrupt error i think there is some issue with downloading..please check for future updates

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